Day 1 of Stay Home Stay Safe Order in Michigan

Wow.

So much has happened since I last posted but almost more importantly, this pandemic is just starting to get crazy.

That’s right, just starting.

It’s been 2 weeks since Michigan declared a state of emergency when there were two positive cases of COVID 19. Now there are 1791 confirmed positive cases with 24 people dead.

“Flattening the Curve” by Staying Home

Right now our hospital systems can handle the number of cases. It will still be able to as long as people stay home. This week. YES. This week is the critical week that will help determine if our hospitals will be completely overrun with patients and us having to make decisions on who gets a ventilator and who doesn’t. I hope that we don’t get to that point. But the only way to stop it is by staying home.

I’m happy to see that Michigan has a stay home order. That is a necessary step to get people to take this seriously.
If we continue “Shelter in Place”, meaning staying home and only going out for groceries or essentials once a week, then we will be doing our part to “flatten the curve.”

“Flattening the curve” means that we will not exceed the number of available hospital beds.

If we all do our part, then this graph predicts that we will likely peak in the number of hospitalizations (4877 people) around May 18. As you can see in this graph, 4877 is much lower than our maximum capacity.

Staying home will make it possible to save more lives.
If we as Michiganders stay home, then it is possible to never overload the hospital system and decrease the number of deaths.